Win and You’re In

by Ed Meyer

posted on July 25, 2008 in Breeders Cup, Free Picks and Tips, Handicapping, Horse Racing | 1 Comment >>

This Saturday will be a day that all eyes should be on Saratoga.

There is an excellent undercard, and it is capped off with an all-stakes Pick Four with a pool guaranteed at $500,000. These races should be devoured like a good meal. Take your time, take everything into consideration (such as the turf being soft to yielding). Look for runners who have top notch trainers and a trip over the track in the morning. No, this is not just another stakes filled Saturday but a ticket to the big dance in October. Proceed with caution, and excitement….

The Diana-G1 (the 7th race on the card) has a few runners that jump out to me like a jack-in-the-box. They warrant tougher reading, a plan with how they will be used, and most importantly how much you plan to win. The first of the runners to catch my eye is: Wait A While – This 5 yr old mare by Maria’s Mon is out of a mare that was a turf winner herself and has one starter, one winner, and that runner is a stakes winner. She has the services of one of the best riders in our country. Rafael Bejarano.  He wins 19% on the turf, and is 57% in the money on the weeds. She is trained by Todd Pletcher, and he wins 21% of his graded stakes races. Not bad at all… This mare is making her third start off a layoff, and this is a target move by a trainer to get them ready. She has not raced in over 90 days away, and Pletcher wins 22% of the time with rested runners. She is 2/2 with wins over the surface, and she is 3 wins from 4 starts over a course that has a little give to it. Overall, she looks solid, and cannot be taken lightly. Look for a stalking ride on a push button runner. This rider didn’t come to New York for nothing.

The other that needs to be used is: Vacare – This is a solid mare by Lear fan who absolutely loved the turf. His dam was a grass winner, and has the services of Edgar Prado. He is a 16% turf rider, and the trainer is Christophe Clemente and he wins 22% of his turf runners. This gal has been away from the races since June, and Clemente wins 21% and 54% in the money off this move. Solid works in the morning shows she is prepping for something, and today looks to be the ticket. The ticket to The Breeders’ Cup.  She is dangerous; don’t leave her out of gimmicks or the Pick 4.

Rounding out the trio is: Dynaforce – A daughter of Dynaformer, and her mother has 12 starters with 11 winners and 4 stakes winners. Pretty good action…. Kent Desormeaux is riding today. He is man on a mission, and I think he is picking up his game to the A ++++ ranking.  He has the pleasure of riding for Bill Mott, and he is about as good as they come. In the last 60 days, they have teamed up to win 27% of the time. Not bad stats at all. Look for an up close stalk today, and she will be double tough down the lane in the event.

Now, the plan is laid. Check out WinningPonies.com to put together the entire ticket, and knock off this Pick 4 like a layup. Today is for making money. For the owners, the trainers, the riders, and most importantly, you.