Last Glimpse Weekend

by Ed Meyer

posted on April 10, 2009 in Handicapping, Other Events | No Comments >>

This weekend is the last glimpse of the three-year-olds. We have had plenty of time to watch and learn about the runners we like. So, pay attention and dial up and get ready.

There is a helluva great card at Keeneland. There will ten live races on tap with a first post of 1:05pm Eastern, and this includes one of the most historic preps for the first Saturday in May.

Beginning with Race #6 / G-3 Shakertown going 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf. The forecast was rain and more rain all day Friday, so prepare for a course with a little bit of give to it.

Race #7 is the Commonwealth Stakes a G-2 event. They are going 6f, and you will want to see where WinningPonies has a few runners loaded up into the tiers: Eternal Star, My Pal Charlie, and Rebellion.

Race #8 is the G-2 Jenny Wiley on the turf. Be sure to handicap for runners who like a softer going.  Keeneland always has the track in tip-top shape and you can bet they will have the turf ready as well. Be sure to check the forecast and weather and select the appropriate track condition on your WinningPonies selection form for the most accurate picks.

Race  #9 is the G-1 Toyota Bluegrass Stakes. This race looks good, and has produced many Kentucky Derby winners. Pay heed to the top tier runners in this event to maximize your value. If I had a gun to my head to find a runner to bet, I would use Hold Me Back. I heard Bill Mott on the conference call for the NTRA say that “this is a very nice poly track runner.”  However, our selections in this race will surprise you!  The rain should have tightened up the track, and you should see some nice times.

Toss in Race #11 Oaklawn Park, and they run for a cool million bucks in the Arkansas Derby. This race looks wide open.  WinningPonies gave out Win Willy over the odds-on favorite Old Fashioned last out in the G-2 Rebel; and we think he will pull it off again.  I am going to use the top tier runners, over the second and third tier players in a nice trifecta part-wheel. They found lightning in a bottle last out, and my confidence is in the same corner.

So, be ready because this should be the last glimpse of the runners making their way to the Derby. After the races, check-in on the blogs as I will be tuning in to all trainer responses, and their plans for their runners. I like to read up on everyone, and not leave a stone unturned.

Good luck, and remember:  “Bet with your head, and not over it.”