Comments on: When Is Post Time? [Free Selections] http://blog.winningponies.com/2009/12/25/free-aqueduct-picks-dec-26-2009/ Stop Gambling...Start Winning! Wed, 08 Feb 2012 22:47:44 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Allen Seiden http://blog.winningponies.com/2009/12/25/free-aqueduct-picks-dec-26-2009/comment-page-1/#comment-8991 Allen Seiden Sat, 02 Jan 2010 08:08:17 +0000 http://blog.winningponies.com/?p=3098#comment-8991 Horstra, I hope that you followed the Gold brick road to fortune today playing inside speed at the Big A! Fantastic bias, caught on after 2 races. The coup de gras was Wadi Suki in the 9th, only inside horse with any shot at making the front.Hook him up with the best inside pace horse- Platinum couple and sweet results were to follow.Only wish Mighty Morris could have held on at 10-1 in 8th but Star of NY and Goodbye&goodluck were only horses he could be used with in triples.Card not great tomorrow but I am clicking my ruby slippers together and asking the Wizard to return me to the Gold-bricked Road again. The scarecrow , tinman and lion are looking to visit Carter`s store in Coney Island in the 6th and box the two or just have a frank., and if he is ready will not take Offense in the 9th if the gatepopping Attack is ready to go. Last 3 before his vacation he was 2 lengths out of the gate before foes could break at all. Sorry still feeling the New Year`s good cheer and the excitement of starting out the year in nice fashion. Catch up with you soon or if interested feel free to drop me an email.Like I said before , this is the coolest job for me, except for the lone wolf status and most of the chat sites are Ok but a tad simplistic.Actually ,the main reason I stumbled on to your site was looking for a second opinion regarding the sloppy track of Dec. 5. I am pretty sure the inside was deep and so far Dancing Daisy, Morning Run and Distorted Passion have offered a modicum of support to my perception of this.I gather from spending more time on your site that you are a well-established, successful entrepenuer in the handicapping realm and I certainly respect you for this.Most of the sites offering selections or not turn me off. I know it must seem odd that a complete stranger is attempting to initiate a topical relationship , but discussing the subject I am most fond of{my kids of course come first, my wife ,probably comes in to show.}seems to be more important than in years past.I was never one to frequent OTB parlors and days of going to the track are long past.I certainly understand if you are not interested in having the occasional discourse on the subject that we are both fascinated with ,to be wary of the unfamiliar is normal. I am a well educated, hopefully interesting and possibly humorous person looking to share,trade, or even argue ideas and opinions{Andy Serling I am not!] and that`s it..If not, that`s totally cool and wish you all the best.I assume this is a public site and if interested please email me. allensdn@yahoo.com. Regards and Good Luck, Allen Horstra,
I hope that you followed the Gold brick road to fortune today playing inside speed at the Big A! Fantastic bias, caught on after 2 races. The coup de gras was Wadi Suki in the 9th, only inside horse with any shot at making the front.Hook him up with the best inside pace horse- Platinum couple and sweet results were to follow.Only wish Mighty Morris could have held on at 10-1 in 8th but Star of NY and Goodbye&goodluck were only horses he could be used with in triples.Card not great tomorrow but I am clicking my ruby slippers together and asking the Wizard to return me to the Gold-bricked Road again.
The scarecrow , tinman and lion are looking to visit Carter`s store in Coney Island in the 6th and box the two or just have a frank., and if he is ready will not take Offense in the 9th if the gatepopping Attack is ready to go. Last 3 before his vacation he was 2 lengths out of the gate before foes could break at all.
Sorry still feeling the New Year`s good cheer and the excitement of starting out the year in nice fashion.
Catch up with you soon or if interested feel free to drop me an email.Like I said before , this is the coolest job for me, except for the lone wolf status and most of the chat sites are Ok but a tad simplistic.Actually ,the main reason I stumbled on to your site was looking for a second opinion regarding the sloppy track of Dec. 5. I am pretty sure the inside was deep and so far Dancing Daisy, Morning Run and Distorted Passion have offered a modicum of support to my perception of this.I gather from spending more time on your site that you are a well-established, successful entrepenuer in the handicapping realm and I certainly respect you for this.Most of the sites offering selections or not turn me off. I know it must seem odd that a complete stranger is attempting to initiate a topical relationship , but discussing the subject I am most fond of{my kids of course come first, my wife ,probably comes in to show.}seems to be more important than in years past.I was never one to frequent OTB parlors and days of going to the track are long past.I certainly understand if you are not interested in having the occasional discourse on the subject that we are both fascinated with ,to be wary of the unfamiliar is normal. I am a well educated, hopefully interesting and possibly humorous person looking to share,trade, or even argue ideas and opinions{Andy Serling I am not!] and that`s it..If not, that`s totally cool and wish you all the best.I assume this is a public site and if interested please email me.
allensdn@yahoo.com.
Regards and Good Luck,
Allen

]]> By: horstardamus http://blog.winningponies.com/2009/12/25/free-aqueduct-picks-dec-26-2009/comment-page-1/#comment-8951 horstardamus Wed, 30 Dec 2009 19:59:14 +0000 http://blog.winningponies.com/?p=3098#comment-8951 Allen, The day we stop learning is the day we start losing. We thank you for your insights, and be sure to bring up some things you like and don't like. We can only get better by listening to seasoned players. We value your input and look forward to hearing from you in the future. Have a safe a and Happy New Year !! Allen,

The day we stop learning is the day we start losing. We thank you for your insights, and be sure to bring up some things you like and don’t like. We can only get better by listening to seasoned players.

We value your input and look forward to hearing from you in the future.

Have a safe a and Happy New Year !!

]]> By: Allen Seiden http://blog.winningponies.com/2009/12/25/free-aqueduct-picks-dec-26-2009/comment-page-1/#comment-8922 Allen Seiden Tue, 29 Dec 2009 14:42:54 +0000 http://blog.winningponies.com/?p=3098#comment-8922 Thank you, A Very Happy New Year to you as well! A.S. Thank you, A Very Happy New Year to you as well!
A.S.

]]> By: Allen Seiden http://blog.winningponies.com/2009/12/25/free-aqueduct-picks-dec-26-2009/comment-page-1/#comment-8921 Allen Seiden Tue, 29 Dec 2009 14:38:41 +0000 http://blog.winningponies.com/?p=3098#comment-8921 Thanks for your response. I have enjoyed scanning your site and it has offered me a well needed break from viewing this past weekend`s races at the Big A. I watch each race approximately ten times depending on the # of entries and the amount of troubled trips{ always enjoy watching a cashed out race, over and over}.By the way did 49stgeorgest. steady just after the 1/2 mile pole or just drop back.? I have watched a # of times and still can`t tell. I only play NYRA tracks and have been doing it professionally for several years now.Perhaps the abundance of overbet horses prompted me to respond to your selections,as I have shifted my wagering strategy to mainly looking for these underlays and seeking the value provided by their exclusion or minimalization in my wagers.I firmly believe heavy faves are pounded harder now, more than in years past and in many races where the heavy bettors are lost,the Dominguez , pick a Dutrow, Levine or Pletcher angles are huge factors on the odds, thus producing many false or overbet faves.Ramon rocks! but he still can`t carry some of the falsies over the finish line! I hope I didnt come off as one of those "critics" who need to show off their brilliance by offering negative feedback. I guess I am just kinda in tune with predicting odds, especially on anticipated big faves, and expected all 3 to be heavily bet.They were all extremely legit contenders, odds aside.I even used 2 of them on several pick 3 and pick 4 tickets, as singles{ouch}. to sum it up, I am a very solitary figure in racing,watching and wagering from my home office, and miss the chance to converse with knowledgeable contemporaries.When I came to your site I just felt like tossing in my 2cent`s worth. I am kind of unique due to some of the tools I use. The main one is a "Point of call" chart that visually reproduces the race in 2D, placing each horse in the correct fractional and running path locations at the pts of call and noting all trouble lines,etc.Basically they are hand drawn reproductions of each race, focusing on fractions, position and trouble. It makes recall much more clear than looking at a normal chart.and comparing races of the same distance much easier.I love the inner dirt, due to the limited # of race distances, making accurate figures much simpler to produce. Anyway back to work. Regards, Allen Thanks for your response. I have enjoyed scanning your site and it has offered me a well needed break from viewing this past weekend`s races at the Big A. I watch each race approximately ten times depending on the # of entries and the amount of troubled trips{ always enjoy watching a cashed out race, over and over}.By the way did 49stgeorgest. steady just after the 1/2 mile pole or just drop back.? I have watched a # of times and still can`t tell.
I only play NYRA tracks and have been doing it professionally for several years now.Perhaps the abundance of overbet horses prompted me to respond to your selections,as I have shifted my wagering strategy to mainly looking for these underlays and seeking the value provided by their exclusion or minimalization in my wagers.I firmly believe heavy faves are pounded harder now, more than in years past and in many races where the heavy bettors are lost,the Dominguez , pick a Dutrow, Levine or Pletcher angles are huge factors on the odds, thus producing many false or overbet faves.Ramon rocks! but he still can`t carry some of the falsies over the finish line!
I hope I didnt come off as one of those “critics” who need to show off their brilliance by offering negative feedback. I guess I am just kinda in tune with predicting odds, especially on anticipated big faves, and expected all 3 to be heavily bet.They were all extremely legit contenders, odds aside.I even used 2 of them on several pick 3 and pick 4 tickets, as singles{ouch}.
to sum it up, I am a very solitary figure in racing,watching and wagering from my home office, and miss the chance to converse with knowledgeable contemporaries.When I came to your site I just felt like tossing in my 2cent`s worth.
I am kind of unique due to some of the tools I use. The main one is a “Point of call” chart that visually reproduces the race in 2D, placing each horse in the correct fractional and running path locations at the pts of call and noting all trouble lines,etc.Basically they are hand drawn reproductions of each race, focusing on fractions, position and trouble.
It makes recall much more clear than looking at a normal chart.and comparing races of the same distance much easier.I love the inner dirt, due to the limited # of race distances, making accurate figures much simpler to produce.
Anyway back to work.
Regards, Allen

]]> By: Horstradamus http://blog.winningponies.com/2009/12/25/free-aqueduct-picks-dec-26-2009/comment-page-1/#comment-8904 Horstradamus Mon, 28 Dec 2009 05:43:34 +0000 http://blog.winningponies.com/?p=3098#comment-8904 Allen, Point well taken... They were short prices when the lights lit up. I used them in multi-race exoitcs. Three friends of mine used them in a BIG place parlay. Eirher way, players seeking a profit. Anyone can toss out a 30-1 who gets dusted. I do agree, it is not much fun betting $2 win on these kinds. I like to string others with them on the tier levels to strike P-3's and P-4's. I work at a track, and have access to about material known to exist. Keep in the game, and check in on us from time to time. I think you will enjoy the site. Be sure to drop us a line and keep us up to speed ! Best of luck, and have a Happy New Year !! Allen,

Point well taken…

They were short prices when the lights lit up. I used them in multi-race exoitcs. Three friends of mine used them in a BIG place parlay. Eirher way, players seeking a profit.

Anyone can toss out a 30-1 who gets dusted. I do agree, it is not much fun betting $2 win on these kinds. I like to string others with them on the tier levels to strike P-3′s and P-4′s.

I work at a track, and have access to about material known to exist. Keep in the game, and check in on us from time to time. I think you will enjoy the site. Be sure to drop us a line and keep us up to speed !

Best of luck, and have a Happy New Year !!

]]> By: Allen Seiden http://blog.winningponies.com/2009/12/25/free-aqueduct-picks-dec-26-2009/comment-page-1/#comment-8890 Allen Seiden Sun, 27 Dec 2009 07:45:57 +0000 http://blog.winningponies.com/?p=3098#comment-8890 Hindsight is 20-20 {I think it`s 20-10} but considering the highest odds offered were 6/5, these "types of plays" will never be profitable in the long run. And the low odds were certainly to be expected, as the best thing about NY races is the pronounced tendency to overbet favorites.especially the well connected ones. Take the best odds offered , 49geo. at 6/5, do you really want an absent closer vs a full field? If a gun was held on me I would have picked him as well, but I think offering BAD, vulnerable favorites is more of a service than selecting horses that will obviously be overbet and offer no value. This is my first time viewing this site and your selections and backup stats are logical and analytically sound, but after playing this game for close to 40 years my one nugget of wisdom is either bet against vulnerable favorites or pass the race.With one exception: hooking up an unbeatable horse at low odds in exotics as a way to augment value. With patience and a good idea about what`s going on there are enough good bets to avoid using theses chalky types. I know 2 of them lost by a hair combined but they did lose. I don`t know if these picks are aberrations or if most selections are favorites but everday there are a handfull of these overbet sorts and avoiding them is my M.O. I am sure you are an excellent handicapper. I think I am OK as well and would have picked these same 3 to win as well, but I also knew Geno and Pashito would be 4/5 or less. As a close observerof NY track betting patterns, I am sure you were aware too, so why bother with these kind? Anyway that`s just my opinion and after many years of betting feel confident it has some merit. Good luck! Regards, Allen Hindsight is 20-20 {I think it`s 20-10} but considering the highest odds offered were 6/5, these “types of plays” will never be profitable in the long run. And the low odds were certainly to be expected, as the best thing about NY races is the pronounced tendency to overbet favorites.especially the well connected ones.
Take the best odds offered , 49geo. at 6/5, do you really want an absent closer vs a full field? If a gun was held on me I would have picked him as well, but I think offering BAD, vulnerable favorites is more of a service than selecting horses that will obviously be overbet and offer no value.
This is my first time viewing this site and your selections and backup stats are logical and analytically sound, but after playing this game for close to 40 years my one nugget of wisdom is either bet against vulnerable favorites or pass the race.With one exception: hooking up an unbeatable horse at low odds in exotics as a way to augment value.
With patience and a good idea about what`s going on there are enough good bets to avoid using theses chalky types. I know 2 of them lost by a hair combined but they did lose.
I don`t know if these picks are aberrations or if most selections are favorites but everday there are a handfull of these overbet sorts and avoiding them is my M.O. I am sure you are an excellent handicapper. I think I am OK as well and would have picked these same 3 to win as well, but I also knew Geno and Pashito would be 4/5 or less. As a close observerof NY track betting patterns, I am sure you were aware too, so why bother with these kind?
Anyway that`s just my opinion and after many years of betting feel confident it has some merit. Good luck!
Regards, Allen

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