Churchill Downs is home of the Derby. It has lights, and is doing some very cool things. But, it also has regular days at the races. They won’t write about a day at the races on a Thursday afternoon. But, we will take advantage of some great plays and build our bankroll. I like average days as much as the marquee days. Let’s keep the ball rolling, and dig in and enjoy some sun in the Bluegrass State.
Race #1 – #3 Shryock (5-2).
Miguel Mena is up in the saddle. Trainer Wally Dollase doesn’t do much business in this region, but when he does, it usually has good consequences.
2/4 ITM at CD, and cropping in class from mdn 30 – mdn 15 last out, looked like a good move. Comes right back at the same level, and I like the move. He loomed four wide last out, and came up a little empty in the lane. i think more gas will be in the tank for one of the most quiet money trainers in the game. I see a solid effort, and I would dig into the tier levels and find exotic action.
Race #4 – #1 Satisfied Mind (4-1).
3/3 ITM at Churchill, and B.J Hernandez is in the saddle. Trainer Brad Cox is rolling 67% a winner, and was claimed. He rolls at a crisp 40% on this angle, and you should pay heed to that number. The barn coming 3 off a layoff wins 20%, and being a winner last race out yields 27% and 61% ITM.
Race #5 – #6 Miss Lotawata (4-1).
Lopez in the irons for Thom Drury. They are dropping down two classes, and that gets them 40% winners and 70% ITM. Going from mdn 20 down to mdn 10 is a nice drop. 2/2 ITM at CD, and the dam is 100% ITM with her babies running. Stretch out from 5 1/2 to 6 panels gives a little more ground, and that can make a difference.