Melikov’s Horses to Watch, Nov 2011, cont.

by Greg Melikov

posted on November 16, 2011 in Free Picks and Tips, Handicapping, Horse Racing, WinningPonies.com | No Comments >>

BinocularsHorses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov, should do well next time out. These thoroughbreds won six times, finished second five times and ran third three times. They’re worth considering when developing your wagering strategy for online betting or at your favorite track.

AQUEDUCT

Gambling Geraldine: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, guided four wide for clearance entering stretch and gained third, beaten a nose and a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 9; ran final quarter in 24 2/5.

CALDER

Justanother Babe: Steadied early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished third by a half-length at a mile on the turf Nov. 10.

Blue Samurai: Broke eighth and last, trailed by more than six lengths after a half-mile, eased out for stretch run, rallied from fourth to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Oct. 27. (Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run and rallied from fourth to gain second by 2 ¾ lengths at a mile on the turf Nov. 11.)

Extra Brew: Raced fifth early, dropped to sixth 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, steadied in stretch when rival drifted out, recovered at eighth pole, closed fast late to make up more than 2 ½ lengths at six furlongs on Oct. 24.

Saratoga Matt: Raced eighth and last more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run, rallied from fifth to make up more than 2 ¼ lengths and gained second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Sept. 23. (Shuffled back at break, raced 10th and last more than seven lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied outside from sixth in stretch and won going away by two lengths at a mile on a good turf course Nov. 5.)

Stage Deli: Raced more than 2 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, waited behind wall of rivals on far turn, angled out in stretch and closed to finish second, beaten a nose at a mile on Oct. 20; returned $6.10 for place. (Broke slowly, raced sixth and last more than 13 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths at a mile on Nov. 10.)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

Sir Jock: Raced more than 6 ½ lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, split rivals on the turn, rallied in stretch to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at 6 ½ furlongs on Nov. 10.

Timely Tally: Raced seventh and last early, advanced to sixth 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied inside from fourth to make up two lengths in stretch and gained second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 30.

GOLDEN GATE FIELDS

Famous Dottie: Raced fifth early, dropped to sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fifth to make up more than 3 ¾ lengths in stretch and gained second by 1 ¾ lengths at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 6.

Awesome Jared: Raced more than 5 ½ lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, dropped to sixth after six furlongs, rallied four wide in stretch, bumped with winner nearing sixteenth pole, closed late from fifth to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a head at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Oct. 23.

Bits and Bobs: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fourth after three-eighths of a mile, closed steadily in stretch and finished second by 3 ¼ lengths at five furlongs on Oct. 23. (Raced two lengths behind in third after a half-mile, rallied a bit in stretch and gained second by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 12.)

HAWTHORNE

Riverside Rascal: Broke eighth and last in tight quarters, trailed by more than 13 ½ lengths after a half-mile, shifted outside, then inside in stretch, rallied from sixth to make up more than 6 ½ lengths and gained second by head at six furlongs on a sealed sloppy surface on Nov. 9.

Diva’s Diamond: Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, rallied from fourth in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 27.

Dixie Shoes: Raced 7 ½ lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, angled out near mid-stretch, rallied to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a length at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Oct. 26.

HOLLYWOOD PARK

Hakuchi: Raced seventh early, dropped to eighth more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied four wide into stretch, made up more than 3 ¼ lengths and finished third, beaten a nose for place at six furlongs on the turf Nov. 10.

LAUREL PARK

Muscadine: Bumped at break, raced ninth more than 18 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied wide from fifth in stretch to make up seven lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 8; ran final quarter in 22 4/5.

Mystical Terp: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, swung out behind rivals in upper stretch, rallied to make up three lengths and finished second, beaten a neck at seven furlongs on Oct. 25. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, cruised up behind rivals near quarter pole and rallied in stretch from second to win by length at six furlongs on Nov. 9.)

Unbridled Pride: Broke through the gate and ran off about a sixteenth of a mile before start, raced more than 2 ½ lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up nearly 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a nose at six furlongs on Oct. 10; ran final quarter in 24 4/5. (Raced more than four lengths behind in third after a half-mile, dropped to fourth after six furlongs and rallied in stretch to finish second by 3 ¾ lengths at a mile on a sealed muddy surface Oct. 27.)

Bridey’s Frolic: Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, rallied outside in stretch to make up two lengths and finished second, beaten a neck in a mile race taken off the turf at 7 ½ furlongs on Sept. 26 at Delaware Park. (Dueled early, took lead by a half-length after a half-mile, gave way in upper stretch and finished third at a mile on a sloppy surface instead of 1 1/16 miles taken off the turf Oct. 18.)

PARX (PHILADELPHIA PARK)

Believe in West: Raced third early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, eased out in stretch and closed fast to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at a mile on Nov. 7.

Padre Ed: Raced six lengths behind in third after a half-mile, took lead in upper stretch and cruised to a 9 ½-length victory at a mile and 70 yards on Oct. 24. (Raced four lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, took lead in mid-stretch and drew off to win by 3 ½ lengths at a mile on Nov. 14.)

Heroic Pursuit: Broke in a tangle seventh and last, advanced to fifth early, dropped to sixth more than five lengths behind after a half-mile, came again inside to make up more than 2 ½ lengths in stretch and finished second, beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Oct. 10. (Raced fourth early, dropped to fifth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile and came back to gain third by a length at six furlongs on a muddy surface Oct. 30.)

Reason to Drink: Raced sixth and last 5 ½ lengths behind after three-eighths of a mile, lost ground going very wide on turn, rallied in stretch to make up 4 ¾ lengths and finished second by 2 ½ lengths on a sealed muddy surface Sept. 24. (Pressed pace early, led by a head after a half-mile, increased margin to 1 ½ lengths while drifting out in mid-stretch and won by three-quarters of a length under steady urging at six furlongs on Oct. 15; returned $18.20 on front end.)

TURF PARADISE

Wolgan Valley: Raced 8 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied four wide in stretch to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at about five furlongs on the turf Nov. 6.

Steel Blue: Raced more than four lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, angled out on turn, rallied through traffic in stretch and finished third, beaten three-quarters of a length and a head at 7 ½ furlongs on the turf Oct. 11. (Set a pressured pace from the start, led by a head after a half-mile, held lead by same margin in stretch, weakened, but held on for third by three-quarters of a length at as mile on the turf Oct. 30.)

WOODBINE

U Get the Picture: Raced 12th and last early, advanced to 11th more than eight lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied belatedly from fifth in stretch to make up more than 3 ½ lengths and gained second by 1 ¼ lengths at seven furlongs on Nov. 9.

Maverick Man: Raced third early, dropped to sixth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied along rail from fourth in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a head at six furlongs on Oct. 28. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from second and won by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 13; returned $22.10 on front end.)

Jenna’s Wabbit: Sprinted clear quickly, led by two lengths after a half-mile, widened margin to 4 ½ lengths in stretch and won by 7 ¼ lengths in a hand ride covering the six furlongs in 1:09 4/5 on Oct. 10. (Went right to the front, led by a length after a half-mile, increased margin in stretch and won by 2 ½ lengths under restraint at seven furlongs on Nov. 2.)

Kings Parade: Raced seventh and last more than 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, lost ground into stretch, rallied late to make up more than 4 ¾ lengths and finished third, beaten a neck for place at 1 1/16 miles on Sept. 25. (Raced three lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile and rallied turning for home to gain second by a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 6; returned $6.60 for place.)