Melikov’s Horses to Watch, Dec 2011

by Greg Melikov

posted on December 7, 2011 in Free Picks and Tips, Handicapping, Horse Racing, WinningPonies.com | No Comments >>

ChecklistHorses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov, should do well next time out. These thoroughbreds won nine times, finished second five times and ran third three times since Nov. 5. They’re worth considering when developing your wagering strategy for online betting or at your favorite track.

AQUEDUCT

Coaltown Legend: Raced eighth and last early, advanced to seventh more than 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied to make up 6 ½ lengths in stretch and gained second by a neck at six furlongs on Nov. 20; ran final quarter in 22 4/5.

Gambling Geraldine: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, guided four wide for clearance entering stretch and gained third, beaten a nose and a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 9; ran final quarter in 24 2/5.

CALDER

Majestic Train: Raced six lengths behind in fourth after three-eighths of a mile, forced outward five wide at top of the stretch, rallied to make up four lengths and gained second by a neck at 5 ½ furlongs on a sealed sloppy surface Nov. 21.

Justanother Babe: Steadied early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished third by a half-length at a mile on the turf Nov. 10. (Raced three lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to grab lead and won by three-quarters of a length at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Nov. 27; returned $12 on front end.)

Blue Samurai: Broke eighth and last, trailed by more than six lengths after a half-mile, eased out for stretch run, rallied from fourth to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Oct. 27. (Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run and rallied from fourth to gain second by 2 ¾ lengths at a mile on the turf Nov. 11.)

Saratoga Matt: Shuffled back at break, raced 10th and last more than seven lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied outside from sixth in stretch and won going away by two lengths at a mile on a good turf course Nov. 5. (Broke 10th and last, trailed early, advanced to ninth more than 11 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung wide from fourth in stretch and rallied to finish second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Nov. 26.)

Stage Deli: Raced more than 2 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, waited behind wall of rivals on far turn, angled out in stretch and closed to finish second, beaten a nose at a mile on Oct. 20; returned $6.10 for place. (Broke slowly, raced sixth and last more than 13 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a nose at a mile on Nov. 10.)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

Timely Tally: Raced seventh and last early, advanced to sixth 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied inside from fourth to make up two lengths in stretch and gained second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 30. (Raced 12 ½ lengths behind in 10th after a half-mile, dropped to 11th and last after six furlongs and closed well late from fifth to finish third, beaten a neck for place at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 26.)

DELTA DOWNS

Classic Robbery: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in eighth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fourth five wide in the stretch to make up nearly 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a neck at five furlongs on a sealed muddy surface Nov. 22.

Nacho Business: Stalked pace a length and a head behind in third after a half-mile, took command in stretch by three lengths and won in hand by 7 ¾ lengths at 1 1/16 miles on Sept. 25 at Monmouth Park. (Stalked pace a length and two heads behind in fourth after a half-mile, slipped through inside to gain lead by a length in upper stretch and drew off to win by 7 ¾ lengths at seven furlongs on Nov. 19.)

GOLDEN GATE FIELDS

Global Love: Broke seventh and last, trailed by more than 5 ½ lengths after a half-mile, shifted to extreme outside in stretch, rallied to make up more than 1 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 20.

Famous Dottie: Raced fifth early, dropped to sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fifth to make up more than 3 ¾ lengths in stretch and gained second by 1 ¾ lengths at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 6.

Bits and Bobs: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fourth after three-eighths of a mile, closed steadily in stretch and finished second by 3 ¼ lengths at five furlongs on Oct. 23. (Raced two lengths behind in third after a half-mile, rallied a bit in stretch and gained second by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 12.)

HAWTHORNE

Kind Regards: Pressed pace early, raced two lengths behind in second after a half-mile, lost position to third midway on turn, rallied in stretch to make up nearly two lengths and finished second, beaten a neck at six furlongs on Nov. 2.

Diva’s Diamond: Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, rallied from fourth in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 27. (Raced more than 7 ½ lengths behind in ninth after a half-mile and rallied a bit from fourth in stretch to finish third by six lengths at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 19.)

Dixie Shoes: Raced 7 ½ lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, angled out near mid-stretch, rallied to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a length at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Oct. 26. (Raced fourth early, dropped to sixth 11 lengths behind after half-mile and closed the gap a bit in stretch to finish third at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Nov. 17.)

HOLLYWOOD PARK

Dish the Dirt: Raced ninth and last more than eight lengths behind after a half-mile, came out four wide into stretch, rallied to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a head at seven furlongs on Nov. 20.

Hakuchi: Raced seventh early, dropped to eighth more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied four wide into stretch, made up more than 3 ¼ lengths and finished third, beaten a nose for place at six furlongs on the turf Nov. 10.

LAUREL PARK

Shookstown Road: Raced fourth early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile during troubled trip, checked and steadied from five-eighths pole to far turn, awaited room for drive, swung out five wide in upper stretch, closed gamely from fourth to make up more than two lengths and finished second, beaten a nose at seven furlongs on Nov. 19.

Mystical Terp: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, swung out behind rivals in upper stretch, rallied to make up three lengths and finished second, beaten a neck at seven furlongs on Oct. 25. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, cruised up behind rivals near quarter pole and rallied in stretch from second to win by length at six furlongs on Nov. 9.)

Unbridled Pride: Raced more than four lengths behind in third after a half-mile, dropped to fourth after six furlongs and rallied in stretch to finish second by 3 ¾ lengths at a mile on a sealed muddy surface Oct. 27. (Rated close to pace in fourth after a half-mile, surged between rivals in upper stretch, took command and drew clear to win by 3 ½ lengths at six furlongs on a good surface Nov. 17.)

PARX (PHILADELPHIA PARK)

African Knight: Stalked pace in third a head and 1 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, closed gamely from fourth in stretch and finished second, beaten a nose at 6 ½ furlongs on Nov. 20.

Believe in West: Raced third early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, eased out in stretch and closed fast to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at a mile on Nov. 7.

Padre Ed: Raced six lengths behind in third after a half-mile, took lead in upper stretch and cruised to a 9 ½-length victory at a mile and 70 yards on Oct. 24. (Raced four lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, took lead in mid-stretch and drew off to win by 3 ½ lengths at a mile on Nov. 14.)

Knocked Out: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile and closed well in stretch to gain second by a nose at 5 ½ furlongs on Oct. 11 at Delaware Park. (Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied five wide in stretch and dead-heated for first at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 5 at Delaware Park.)

Reason to Drink: Pressed pace early, led by a head after a half-mile, increased margin to 1 ½ lengths while drifting out in mid-stretch and won by three-quarters of a length under steady urging at six furlongs on Oct. 15; returned $18.20 on front end. (Broke alertly from inside post, led by 1 ½ lengths off rail and won by a length at six furlongs on Nov. 26; returned $14.20 on front end.)

PENN NATIONAL

Muscadine: Bumped at break, raced ninth more than 18 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied wide from fifth in stretch to make up seven lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 8; ran final quarter in 22 4/5 at Laurel Park.

TURF PARADISE

Priceless Pearl: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in seventh after three-eighths of mile, rallied from fifth in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 22.

Wolgan Valley: Raced 8 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied four wide in stretch to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a half-length at about five furlongs on the turf Nov. 6.

Steel Blue: Set a pressured pace from the start, led by a head after a half-mile, held lead by same margin in stretch, weakened, but held on for third by three-quarters of a length at a mile on the turf Oct. 30. (Set pace, led by a length after a half-mile, finished well when challenged in stretch and dead-heated for the victory at 7 ½ furlongs on a good turf course Nov. 14.)

WOODBINE

Breeze Bayou: Raced seventh more than six lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from fourth to make up more than 5 ¼ lengths and finished second, beaten three-quarters of a length at six furlongs on Nov. 19.

Maverick Man: Raced third early, dropped to sixth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied along rail from fourth in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished second, beaten a head at six furlongs on Oct. 28. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from second and won by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 13; returned $22.10 on front end.)

Kings Parade: Raced seventh and last more than 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, lost ground into stretch, rallied late to make up more than 4 ¾ lengths and finished third, beaten a neck for place at 1 1/16 miles on Sept. 25. (Raced three lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile and rallied turning for home to gain second by a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 6; returned $6.60 for place.)

Leave a Comment