Free Pick-Four Selections / Delta Jackpot Day / Saturday 11-23-13

by Ed Meyer

posted on November 21, 2013 in Free Picks and Tips, Handicapping, Horse Racing, WinningPonies.com | No Comments >>

Saturday afternoon racing shifts to Vinton, Louisiana. They have an 11-race card slated, and handicappers from around the nation will be focused on the $1 Million Dollar Delta Downs Jackpot Day. A field of ten is set to go to post in the G-3 Delta Downs Jackpot, and the winner of Saturday’s main event will earn a $600,000 paycheck, and 10 points toward a possible starting position in next year’s Kentucky Derby ‘Road to the Kentucky Derby’ series. Since 2002, a total of nine horses have participated in the $1,000,000 Delta Downs Jackpot before going on to compete in the Kentucky Derby as 3-year-olds. Last year, the race produced a record three Derby starters including: Goldencents, Mylute and Itsmyluckyday.

Delta Downs will offer a special Guaranteed $200,000 Pick 4 on Jackpot Day. The wager has been available during each of the 10 previous editions of the Jackpot Day program. The record payoff for a $2 winning ticket was $22,225.80 in 2006. Last year’s payoff was $843.60 with Goldencents taking the anchor leg in the $1,000,000 Delta Downs Jackpot. The minimum wager amount for the Jackpot Day Pick Four is only .50 cents. Here are the races that make up the $200,000 Guaranteed Pick Four:

  • Race 4 – $75,000 Sam’s Town / 3:44 p.m. ET
  • Race 5 – $150,000 Delta Mile / 4:13 p.m. ET
  • Race 6 – $500,000 Delta Downs Princess (Gr. III) / 4:43 p.m. ET
  • Race 7 – $1,000,000 Delta Downs Jackpot (Gr. III) 5:15 p.m. ET

 

Race #4 – The $75,000 Sam’s Town – 7f – 3:44 p.m. ET

#3 – Runaway Stephen (4-1) = Chris Rosier (18%) in the saddle for Chris Hartman, this son of Stephen Got Even is 3/3 ITM at Delta, and has a nice closing kick that fits the tight turns.

#5 – Heitai (2-1) = Daniel Saenz in the driver’s seat for Karl Broberg (31%). They team up to win 29%, and this son of “Fu Peg” is a horse-for-the-course going 5/5 ITM over the Delta strip. Add is 2/2 ITM going 7f, and that last race win by 18 lengths and you see why he is the morning line chalk.

#7 – Hip Four Sixty Nine (8-1) = Robby Albarado in the irons for Joe Deters, and this colt is 1/1 with a win at Delta. 2/2 ITM at the distance. 

 

Race #5 – The $150,000 Delta Mile –  1 mile – 4:13 p.m. ET 

#1 – Agent Di Nozzo (5-2) = Shaun Bridgmohan aboard for Steve Margolis, and they are winning 23% on the year. 2/2 with wins at Delta, and 4/5 ITM going this distance. Cuts back from 1 1/8 at CD, and should enjoy this level of competition.

#3 – Uncaptured (7-2) = Miguel Mena gets the nod from Mark Casse. Cuts back in distance, and drops in from graded company. 1/1 going a flat mile and Mena knows this son of Lion Heart.

#8 – Donoharm (6-1) = Rosie Napravnik up for Bret Calhoun, and they are 1/1 at Delta winning the Sam’s Town last year. Been away since April, and the barn wins 32% with long layoffs. A bullet work signals this son of Lemon Drop Kid is ready.

 

Race #6 – The (G-III )Delta Princess – 1 mile –4:43 p.m. ET 

#3 – Miss Behaviour (2-1) = Sheldon Russell gets the mount for Phil Schoenthal, and this daughter of Jump Start has been awfully tough going 3/4 with wins lifetime and should be a forwardly placed runner.

#6 – Concave (7-2) = Mario Gutierrez gets the call for Doug O’Neill, and they are dropping down from the G-1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. This daughter of Colonel John is 3/4 lifetime, and has shown a versatile side running on turf, poly, and dirt. Second start off the layoff, and they score 17% on this move. 

#7 – Appreciating (6-1) = Shaun Bridgmohan in the saddle for Mark Casse, and the barn wins with 24% of two-yr-olds. This daughter of Sky Mesa should come rolling late, and she’ll get moving right before the 1/2 mile mark.

 

Race #7 – The (G-III) Delta Downs Jackpot – 1 1/16 – 5:15 p.m. ET 

#10 – Rise Up (3-1) = Gerard Melancon in the saddle for Thomas Amoss (28%). They are on-fire winning 40% at Delta, and this son of Rockport Harbor won the Jean Lafitte which is a prep for this race. 1/1 at Delta, and should break close to the leaders from the outside, and make a middle race move. He worked a bullet over the deep FG oval to prepare for this event.

#8 – Casiguapo (4-1) = Luis Saez gets the mount for Mario Morales, and this son of Sightseeing is 3 /4 lifetime ITM. Ships in from Belmont, and turned in a bullet work at Calder where he broke his maiden.

#2 – Coastline (5-2) = Shaun Bridgmohan has the mount for Mark Casse. This son of Speightstown is 2 /3 with wins lifetime. The barn wins 24% with babies, and they have teamed to win 26% in 2013. He will be close to the lead, and should be a controlling factor.

 

Ticket cost = 3 X 3 X 3 X 3 = $40.50 cents for a 50-cent ticket, or $81 for a $1 ticket.

Be sure to use this as a guiding point, and always refer back to the E-Z Win Forms. They will be dialed in to find maximum value for this great day of racing. Everything is in real time, and the tier levels are color coded and easy to use. If the weather plays a factor in the card, all that you have to do is “click” the change of weather tab for a brand new set of E-Z Win Forms. Enjoy this great day of racing, and best of luck from your friends at Winning Ponies!

 

 

 

 

 

Leave a Comment