Breeders’ Cup Filly Turf / Juvenile Fillies – First Glimpse

Breeders' Cup Unveils 2015 Keeneland Logo |

It’s time to start the countdown, and I’ve begun my study of past races to get a picture in my noggin. Nothing like a little trip handicapping to see if your runner fits. If you start with a visual, you’ll have a much easier time understanding where the E-Z Win Forms are heading. They give you a full and comprehensive view of the race, and before I even wait to see the draw. I’m jumping in head first. – But rest assured, I’ll have my hands on the E-Z Win Forms the day they roll out.


Juvenile Fillies Turf


Catch a Glimpse / Mark Casse = This effort at Woodbine was ultra impressive, and if you watch for that late surge of extra gas in the tank, you can see how this style will play well over the lush Keeneland course. – Exiting a strong effort in the “win and you’re in” Natalma is enough to get you thinking about how Casse came loaded for bear for this meet.



Harmonize / Bill Mott = She has run twice and looked very good. Will Bill Mott wheel right back in three weeks off the Jessamine victory ? – I sure hope she make the effort. – Take a look where she was 11th at the half, and off the rail. The late kick going six wide is enough to make you happy, and the run back off a win at Keeneland is a huge plus.


Stays in Vegas / Jerry Hollendorfer = She had a perfect rail trip with solid fractions, and when asked by Solis she tipped off the rail and accelerated very nicely in the Surfer Girl Stakes at Santa Anita.


Mirage / Simon Callahan = Going into the race here is a troubled trip runner who really caught my eye. Her second start and first in the states. I think she’ll turn on the afterburners down the lane. – The cool Kentucky weather should fit the bill for this gal. – If you like “Vegas,” you should have her in mind as well.



The Juvenile Fillies


Songbird / Jerry Hollendorfer = She is 3/3 in her career, and loves to be forwardly placed. If everything holds true for the Breeders’ Cup as it did for the regular Keeneland meet. – Her style fits like a glove, as she comes in from Cali for the first time. – The 1 1/16 miles and short stretch run should help the cause. – When Smith shook the reins and she opens up that is a sign we love to see.



Rachel’s Valentina / Todd Pletcher = She laid perfectly against the rail going 7 furlongs, and the way she waited behind the solid pace setters and took dirt in the face is a real education. When she swung off the rail and her late kick appeared. I don’t think with this pedigree ( Bernardini / Rachel’s Alexandra)  the 1 1 /16 miles short stretch will be a problem. I see a versatile runner here that deserves respect.


Nemoralia / Jeremy Noseda = I loved the way she traveled along the rail and right before the 1/4 pole she angled off the rail and showed a great deal of maturity holding position and responding to the whip and mild urging all on her own. – I know that Nickname is in here, and beat her. But sometimes more can be gained off a solid second place effort getting a little road education as her first race in the states. The connections have been high on her for quite a bit.


Gomo / Doug O’Neill = A win over the Keeneland strip is going to be a big plus this year. In the past we would see plenty of runners make a final prep in Lexington, and this year will hold even more weight. The way Mario guided her off the rail at the top of the lane and she accelerated all under her own power is double tough. – Dothraki Queen is going to take a lot of action late as trainer Ken McPeek has a milestone feather in his cap this past regular meet, but she came up the wide open rail after the runners floated out to find the best part of the track. She had a shot, but maybe the rail was too deep. I would have tossed her in for the exotics and local connections. – She is my top play if she enters in here.