Free Selections – Belterra Park – Tuesday, August 25

by Ed Meyer

posted on August 23, 2020 in Blogroll, Free Picks and Tips, Handicapping, Horse Racing, | Comments Off on Free Selections – Belterra Park – Tuesday, August 25

Sometimes you’ll find some of the best value at the marquee races, and sometimes it’s the small track that cashes tickets. Either way, we’ll take it any way we can get it as long as it builds our bankroll. – I make the morning line for Belterra and have first look over the runners. I like to go back and watch race replays and keep copious notes on runners coming back next start. So, sit back and enjoy some free selections to whet your handicapping whistle.

The weather in the summer can be dicey at best, but the forecast calls for highs in the low 90’s and a 20% chance of rain. – I’m handicapping for a fast track.


At Belterra


Race #1 – #3 – Fat Account =  John McKee in the saddle for Mark Thomas and they have a 25% win clip as a team. This closer is going to need some pace and it looks like there is ample speed. McKee wins 15% with closers and the barn scores with 18% of maiden claimers. His numbers are getting better the past three races and today looks like graduation day.

Race #2 – #8 – Fashion Frame = 3rd start off the layoff and ships in from Ellis Park 2nd off the claim. She should be right on the pace and gets the added bonus of the “bug rider” Crytal Conning getting a 5 lb break. She’ll be right off the pace and pounce as Conning wins 20% with route runners.

Race #3 – #5 – Rollin on Tequilla = Fresh off the claim for owner Mark Yagour and trainer James Chapman. The trainer wins at a staggering 40% with new runners to his barn and exiting off a win yields a 55% win clip. He is (5-1) with Sonny Leon in the saddle who scores with 13% with early runners. The owner and trainer have been on a claiming spree and first time back for Chapman wins at a 20% clip for Mark Yagour.

Race #4 – #4 – You’re My Boy Blue = Trainer Larry Smith wins with 23% mdn sp wt runners and the rider switch from Ouzts to Mojica may fit. Both have the same agent and can mix and match riders. He’ll be a half way decent price, and the public is going to pass just on his first race. – Smith wins 33% on the 2nd time out angle and this son of Birdrun is eligible to improve today.

Race #5 – #6 – Market Success = Fresh off the claim for Chapman and Yagour off a two win at Cleveland. – He can get motoring and when she faces Ohio company good things happen. She is (8-5) and may go up as players may doubt the two-turn back to a sprint. I like the owner / trainer combo. You’ll see them at Mountaineer, Indy Grand, Prarie Meadows, and Del Mar. Very dangerous team going to post.

Race #6 – #3 – Tizaboutime = Son of Tiznow for James Chapman who is winning 28% at the meet. – His last effort was first start of 2020 and it was a sloppy-sealed track. Goes from a sprint to a route gets them in the winner’s circle 36%. He is 7/11 ITM over the track and rider and trainer score 25% as a team.