Don’t Jump Just Yet..

by Ed Meyer

posted on April 11, 2011 in General Discussion | No Comments >>

Don't PanicFor the fans of Uncle Mo, please do not make any reservations for the Golden Gate Bridge just yet. For the many loyal fans, don’t sell your stock just yet. Sometimes in racing, just like the song says, “you can’t always get you want; you get what you need.”

I admit, I lost my pick-4 tickets. I used him as a free spot, and I think at least 93 million others did the same. But, once again, I show that I have plenty of chinks in my handicapping armor. I never thought he could get long distances. But, like everyone else, I saw a monster in his brief career, and I don’t think the show is over yet.

In my thoughts, he will be a killer at a mile, and even up to a 1 1/16th. The long range stuff may be out of his wheelhouse. Please look at that statement as a win-win. If I am wrong, look at how many of you will cash big numbers, while I eat my losers. But, if I would be right, it may give you just another thing to think about before going to the window.

The Wood has produced some real runners: Eskendereya, I Want Revenge, Tapit, Fusaichi Pegasus, Seattle Slew, Bold Forbes, Nashua, Hoop Jr., and now you may add Toby’s Corner. I don’t know if the win will be remembered, or how he dismantled a 1-9 shot to toss the Derby into oblivion. Either way though, I bet you will be able to tell me where Uncle Mo finished in the 87th running of this major prep.

He may surprise me and jump up and get a whole lot of maturity from this race. The old saying of a “solid loss” can be more useful than an “average win” may apply. But I want to put my head on the block good or bad. I love the way he looks, and he will be solid if all systems are go. For my money, I will look against him on the big day. I just think I have too many questions about distance limitations, and the race itself does not always produce the best horse by handicapping wisdom. I will state my file for record of runners I will filter in the next few weeks –  Dialed in, Mucho Macho Man, Santiva, Sway Away, Arthur’s Tale.

I would use him somewhere on the super and trifecta bet, but just not to win. The odds may be low, and there still may be many questions to be answered. What do you think? Is he still the big man on campus, or did this race show the real runner? Will he get improvement off of this race, or will there be plans to target another race? I have a fan vote – how about targeting the Preakness where up close stalkers do well?  Time will tell, and it is running out quickly.

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