Keeneland – Top Picks for Saturday 10/21/23

by Ed Meyer

posted on October 17, 2023 in Blogroll, Breeders Cup, Free Picks and Tips, General Discussion, Handicapping, Horse Racing, | Comments Off on Keeneland – Top Picks for Saturday 10/21/23

The weather will be good during the week with some showers on Friday. The track drains better than any I’ve seen, and by Saturday you should have the best oval to wager during the meet. Dry at first, water from the sky, and a drainage that will keep the track perfect for a fair non-biased oval. Turf should be perfect with enough “cut” to please our Euro visitors and provide sweet turf with enough bounce to yield good times.


Keeneland – Saturday, 10/21/2023


Race #2 – #5 – Dancing Nancy = Two-year-old filly by Goldencents, and has been off since Saratoga. She drops in class for Chad Brown who wins 27% going from Mdn Sp Wt to Mdn Claiming. The past two weeks, Chad Brown has had eight starters 4 wins, and a place finish. Take a look at the two solid works over the Keeneland surface and Florent Geroux in the irons who wins 26% with his sprinter mounts. She may not offer great win pool value but could be used as a free spot in multi-race wagers.


Race #4 – #8 – Viareggio = There is plenty of speed that can set up a stalker in the hands of a talented rider for a top-shelf barn. This is her 2nd time off the layoff and trainer Brendan Walsh wins 22%. He does very well with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle scoring 24% as a team and if you go back four races, you’ll see a maiden-breaking win over the Keeneland sod and stalked just off the pace. I’m looking for a repeat here and a trip to the winner’s circle.


Race #5 – #8 – Denim and Pearls = First timer for Brad Cox who wins 20% on this move. Florent Geroux is in the irons and they do very well as a team scoring at a 28% win clip. Her dam Majestic Presence has 3 starters, 2 winners, and 1 stakes winner. Her last two works sold me quickly as they are spaced 6 days apart and her last work was a bullet. She comes back six days off that work and looks ready to fire at first asking.


Race #6 – #5 – Venkman = This son of Ghostzapper is a perfect 2/2 shipping in from Del Mar for Mark Glatt. He is coming off a 49-day break and John Velasquez is in the saddle. His last work was a sparkling bullet, and Velasquez wins 26% with sprinters. He is moving up the ladder for the acid test, and off his last race Speed Figure should be a major player.


Race #8 – #6 – Seisai = She exits off a win at Kentuky Downs over the undulating European course. The track played well to speed and the inside. Her dam Lillebonne (IRE) has 6 starters, 6 winners, 3 stakes winners, and 6 turf winners to her credit. She has a strong turn of late foot and should be a player at a solid price.


Race #10 – #11 – Fauci = This son of Malibu Moon is 2/2 ITM at Keeneland, and Tyler Gaffalione hangs around for the last race of the day. He comes off a 58-day break and sports a late punch that should have him in the winners’ circle today.


This will get you started, and nothing like a little freebie to get you rolling. – For the best use of the day, be sure and download your Winning Ponies E-Z Win Forms to have a complete picture of how the races will take shape. I have had some of my best days at the betting windows by having my handicapping tool in hand. As we start the move to the Breeders’ Cup weekend, be sure to download your E-Z Win Forms now and start putting your final touches on your wagering bankrolls.