Big Weekend [Free Selections]

by Ed Meyer

posted on January 22, 2010 in Free Picks and Tips | 6 Comments >>

Every weekend is going to be bigger and bigger….. Now is the time to start watching and wagering. Start the notes, and get ready. January starts the run for the roses, and it all begins now…

We will start our focus in New York on Saturday at Aqueduct.

Go to Race #3 at Aqueduct – The Paumonok Stakes –  #2 Wall Street Wonder (4/1) has caught my eye. This is a 4-year-old colt by City Place, and he is 1/1 at the “Big A” with wins. Channing Hill is aboard for John Terranova. They team up these past two months to win 27% together, and that is a respectable number. He won his last race off a layoff, and Terranova wins 11% coming right back. He was a part of the Baffert barn two back, and this barn wins 24% of the time with non-graded stakes. 2/3 at the distance, and it looks to be the answer. Back in his past, he was over his head and running on the poly and turf. He seemed to relish the inner track in New York, and I would look for another stalking trip again.

Race #9 – Gulfstream Park / The Holy Bull Stakes (G3) –  I think the public is going to be on #9 Jackson Bend (5/2) like a cheap suit. I like this runner, and he is going to try and stretch it out to six-in-a-row.  But, let’s seek some value that may be used in multi-tier wagers, and gander at #6 Winslow Homer (6/1).  Ramon Dominguez is in town, and he is up for Anthony Dutrow. Dutrow is winning at 29%, and Dominguez is already off to a 24% clip in 2010. This grey son of Unbridled’s Song is 3/3 ITM lifetime. I like the way this guy is getting better with each and every start. The one mile distance should be the tonic that he has been asking for. Exits a 12-length victory at Philly Park, and Dutrow ships in with a 29% win clip. He has been working at Palm Meadows, and this can be a vacation spot away from the hustle and bustle of the track. They relax, and get down to business. He has not raced for two months, and Dutrow seems to do well with rested runners. The $310,000 sales purchase price shows me that someone thought something of him. The more I look, the more I like. I wouldn’t be afraid to box up the chalk in exotics as this can be a solid move. I am looking for a runner that has not peaked, but is on the gradual improve. He fits the bill, as he has not made a bad move since taking to the track.

Each week can show us a little glimpse of the future. It is up to us to find out what fits, and what does not. WinningPonies can help with a comprehensive look at the entire field, and factor in every little number. That can be the best part for me, as they pick up the details I may overlook.

Good luck!

6 Responses to “Big Weekend [Free Selections]”

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  3. Steve says:

    I’m in awe…

  4. Horstradamus says:

    Steve,

    I hope you were on board…. I made four plays on Saturday, and had a lucky three wins and a second at 7-1… Good day !! – Can you believe the Holy Bull exacta ?? $32.20 for the 7-2 over the chalk…..

    More coming for Monday and Tuesday !!

    Good luck, and thanks for the feedback !

  5. Steve says:

    I was on board, but not as big as I should have. That exacta was a lot more than I expected, and I was happy to cash it.

    I’ve been in a little slump lately, and I hope this gets me out of it. Turfway has been pretty brutal. No biases evident, at least as far as I’ve seen. Any thoughts on your end?

  6. Horstradamus says:

    The poly track is playing a bit towards closers. I live three miles from Turfway, and you want to watch the weather. If it gets much warmer, I have seen speed play better. But overall, the stalkers rule the day..

    Good luck, and I will have some plays out for Tuesday…

    Best of luck…..

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