Something To Think About

by Ed Meyer

posted on October 16, 2010 in Breeders Cup, General Discussion | 2 Comments >>

How about this for an off the wall idea? You don’t have to win your last effort prepping for the Breeders’ Cup. Now, the babies and the turfers may be outside of the loop. But, the tried and true runners that will be facing Churchill Downs’ deep sandy oval may be coming along just fine without a record-breaking race.

Case in point… Take Blame‘s last race. Is this a sign he is coming up short? Are you so sold on Haynesfield at this date that you are willing to call him out? I have had this same conversation with some very heady capper’s. They feel he is on the downswing. I have been taking bets for lunch, dinner, and as many adult beverages as we can open. This all comes from an old friend, Dangerous Dan. He has been working some long hours, and has not been able to call. You will see his reactions to blogs, and he still catches it on podcasts. I think he misses giving out his plays, and he was on fire for Keeneland this past weekend. But, all that aside. He was right…. Blame is doing well…… Dan said this may be his play of the weekend….

Here are some great runners who have caught my eye after watching the races, and went back and watched again:

Vosburgh Girolamo steadied, and won by 2…. He is ready….

Flower BowlAve won, but had to get the perfect trip. He split the seam, and got up. Forever Together still looked good, and the Japan  invader Red Desire did pretty well.

Joe Hirsch TurfPaddy O’ Prado will get a ten-ton wager off of this race. It was just too long, and I have fell in love with him ever since his maiden break in a stakes. He will rule….

Jockey Club – I think I have said enough about Blame. Haynesfield winning was like a fat man in a thong. It just doesn’t belong…. Add Blame to the club….

Jamaica Beau Choix got his work in. Look for better, and you will not be deceived.

Champagne – Barring anything ugly, the two-year-old surprise Uncle Mo is a monster. He should only get better with time.

AlcibiadesWickedly Perfect should give the two-year-old gals fits. She did all of this with frozen fractions.

Thoroughbred Club of America Informed Decision was brutalized, and will be just fine. Give a little racing luck, and see what you will find.

Abu DhabiProviso is the real deal, and Smith makes her even better.

Shadwell Mile Gio Ponti lolly gagged, and rolled like thunder in a compact field.  Gio is on high, and should always be respected no matter the odds.

Indiana Derby Lookin at Lucky is my second biggest bet. Even though Blame is getting better, this guy is already there. He should be ready after circling the field in the slop. I am going to box them up with Quality Road for a fat trifecta, and build on the bottom for a super. I hate to say that Zenyatta can’t beat them, but after further review, she will have her hands full with this field.

So, there is a a glimpse at some runners who have won, and others who didn’t. It is not etched in stone that you must win your last effort, and I see this as a way to find extra value. Good luck, and start reading all that you can. Go to the: Bloodhorse, Paulick Report, and my favorite – Equidaily. I think it will be as important as anything to keep your eyes peeled for final works, and the overall fitness of the runners. You can stay tuned each and every Thursday here on WP, as we will have guests on the show and talk about what has happened in the news and the past week.