Half Time in the Wagering Year

by Ed Meyer

posted on May 27, 2011 in General Discussion | 4 Comments >>

It is time to start taking inventory. No, not on how many boxes you have or why you didn’t do your work project. One where you take a look at your methods, and find your madness.

I get a lot out of talking with folks and knowing what makes them tick. It is like handicapping with multiple bankrolls, and it allows me to find a weakness in my wagering armor.

With the Triple Crown winding down, many people could lose interest. Or, they could be backing that chalk for the third time hoping for lightning. But, as for me, I will be playing a price runner. The Belmont races will give you a glimpse of some local runners, some that may offer a price, and could light up your wallet.

I did fine in the Derby, did you? – No bragging, but just taking stock on how I was doing for the seasonal specials. – The Preakness was a race where I became even more of a believer, and an upset occurred. I wouldn’t have had it, but after speaking with around 100 folks, they all had Shackleford. Sounds like he should have been 5-2 and not 12-1. This was a tough race to digest. But, it helps to put it behind us and start again….

Something I have heard from serious handicappers was that they failed the money management test. When they were up, the greed bug bit and a $20 player was now playing $50. Or, after a day of moderate play, the horse they waited for comes along at a square price, and they back off on the bet that would win the day. The overall answer: everyone wanted to better the way the money was handled.

The race is far from over, and the Belmont could be a an excellent opportunity to cash. The races are getting stronger each weekend, and you can find value everywhere you look. All it takes is a little work, patience, and most importantly money management.

Good luck!

4 Responses to “Half Time in the Wagering Year”

  1. izthewiz says:

    Notion lost the Preakness because he was too careful with AK and did not want to do too much with him telling everyone who came by his barn that his charg was sharp and did not need much honing, mistake #2 was shipping to Baltimore the day of the race and not a couple before to get his horse acclimated to the surface. After the race Johnny V did say that the horse did not like the dirt hitting him in the face as opposed to his shoulders in the Derby where the fractions early were much slower.
    Now i believe that the horse will win the Belmont and Motion will only have himself to blame for taking it easy on AK and not bringing a sharper horse (for a shorter distance) to the Preakness…and thus missing the Triple Crown…

  2. izthewiz says:

    sorry typo Motion not Notion lol

  3. Ed says:

    I agree. The ship over on the day of the race was odd. He left a spa setting, and came into the media madness….

    The Belmont may suit him nicely, and even though the great Woody Stephens said it is a speed race, i will be looking for my stalker to lay ff the leaders flank…

    Good luck !!

  4. dan moore says:

    i disagree wiz the reason he got beat wasnt motion it was a speed favoring track and lack of distance. flashpoint and shak ran out and clearly ak was left with way to much to do. he wins belmont in a romp

Leave a Comment