Free Selections – Churchill Downs – Friday 11/12/21

by Ed Meyer

posted on November 11, 2021 in Blogroll, Free Picks and Tips, Handicapping, Horse Racing, | Comments Off on Free Selections – Churchill Downs – Friday 11/12/21

The Kentucky circuit has shifted its tack to Louisville, and the Thursday card had a sloppy track. – More of the same predicted for weather, and even though the drainage is good, I’m looking for a track muddy-good. – Best of luck from your friends at Winning Ponies!


Churchill Downs


Race#1 – #3 – Madelyns Heat = First time starter by Cairo Prince and trainer Chris Hartman is winning 40% so far at the meet. – His dam has 2 wins from 3 starts and the rider/trainer combo is 8 for 14 ITM the past 2 weeks as a team.


Race#2 – #2 – Jazzy Lady = Drops down in class today for Mike Maker and has the services of Keeneland meet leading rider Tyler Gaffalione. Makes the turf to dirt switch and with all the speed in here she may come calling late turning for home.


Race#3 – #2 – Cousteau = 3rd time off the layoff and goes to post for Rudy Brisset and Tyler Gaffalione. Drops down in class and the trainer wins 22% with mdn claimers.


Race#4 – #3 – Dover Strait = Drops down two class levels and still managed a solid 4th place finish last out – I like his chances in here today.


Race#5 – #1 – Epicurean = Speed from the rail post and a big drop down in class. – Add in Joel Rosario and you have a major danger in this event.


Race#6 – #4 – Briefcase Bully = 2nd time off the layoff and two wins from 3 starts at CD – 2/2 ITM on off tracks.


Race#7 – #10 – Flash Magic = She was a beaten favorite last out and the barn comes back to turn the tables at a 25% win clip – Tons of speed and she may be able to stalk and pounce when the real running begins.


Race#8 – #2 – Semble Justice = Perfect stalker who is 3 for 3 ITM at CD and go back two races and she won big over a sloppy track at CD.


Race #9 – #8 – Thirsty Betrayal = 3rd time off the layoff and is 3/5 ITM at CD – The barn wins 36% third off the shelf and should enjoy the extra distance today. Major player.